Mining

Medium-Term Opportunity

Mining supplies the raw materials that every other sector depends on – and, increasingly, the critical minerals the energy transition itself runs on. Canada has over 200 active mines and 6,500 quarries, exporting over $125 billion in minerals in 2024. Its direct emissions are comparatively modest with 11 Mt of CO2e in 2022, a relatively stagnant value since 1990.

The sector’s decarbonization challenge is shaped by remote sites, sunk capital, and high up-front equipment costs. The advantage to the mining sector is in their mobile equipment – the largest on-site emissions source – which is replaced every 10 to 15 years. The core path to net zero is to electrify mine operations, supply them with renewable power, and modernize extraction and processing, complemented by recycling and recovery to keep materials in circulation. With the demand for battery- and defence-critical minerals set to grow, capturing the upside while meeting net zero and Indigenous partnership goals will mean front-loading low-carbon power and electric equipment as new mines are built.

GHG emissions
  • 10
    Mt CO₂e
1.5% of national emissions, 2024
Critical minerals
  • 34
    minerals
Federally listed as essential to the transition and defence
Economic
  • $117B
    in GDP
Sector supports 213K jobs, 2023
Top pathways for action
Pathway Elements
Role in the
Net-Zero System
Signal to
Decision-Makers
Pathways Elements
Battery‑Electric and Trolley‑Assist Mining Equipment
Role in the Net-Zero System
Priority Decarbonization Pathway
Signal to Decision-Makers
Deploy
Invest in site electrification, charging infrastructure, and workforce training.
Pathways Elements
Transform Extraction and Processing
Role in the Net-Zero System
Enabling Pathway
Signal to Decision-Makers
Enable
Invest in process redesign and electrified material movement where productivity and emissions benefits align.
Pathways Elements
On‑site Renewables and Storage Microgrids
(Solar, Wind, and Battery Storage)
Role in the Net-Zero System
Priority Enabling Pathway
Signal to Decision-Makers
Deploy
Support hybrid microgrid deployment at off-grid and remote mine sites. Build enabling frameworks for grid interconnection.
Pathways Elements
Metal Recycling and Recovery
Role in the Net-Zero System
Enabling Pathway
Signal to Decision-Makers
Enable
Strengthen regulatory frameworks for recycled content and e-waste recovery. Invest in collection, sorting, and quality assurance infrastructure.
This is a selection of priority pathways for this sector; others are covered in the full pathway assessments below.
Current challenges
#ffb400
Remote, off-grid sites

Many mines rely on expensive, polluting diesel generators for power and equipment.

High up-front capital

Electric equipment, processing plants, and net-zero energy supplies carry large initial costs.

Large diesel mobile equipment

The largest on-site emissions source with few decarbonization options.

No recycling framework

Canada lacks a policy and regulatory framework to incentivize metal recovery and recycling.

Declining ore grades

More material must be processed per unit of mineral, raising energy use.

Competitiveness & land claims

Unsettled Indigenous land claims can challenge development.

Longer-term issues
#ffb400
Battery & fuel-cell end-of-life

Managing disposal and the potentially toxic legacy of zero-emission technologies.

Reclamation liabilities

Rising mineral demand may deepen existing mine-site reclamation obligations.

Metallurgical coal & methane

Coal persists for steelmaking and fugitive methane will need offsets and worker/community transition.

Cumulative impacts

Growing demand for minerals raises the sector's cumulative environmental footprint.

Indicators of progress
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Electric equipment share

Proportion of mining equipment that is electric or fuel-cell.

Recycled metals

Volume and value of recycled metals.

Mining connectivity

Number of mines connected to the electrical grid.

Economic opportunities
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Lower operating costs

Electrification cuts volatile energy costs and reduces maintenance.

Critical-mineral supply

Supply the 34 critical minerals for the low-carbon transition and defence as demand grows.

New revenue streams

Metal recycling and recovery, and re-mining legacy tailings for critical minerals, turn liabilities into value.

Pathway Assessments for Mining Sector

View all of the major decarbonization pathways available to this sector, including a high-level signal of its current readiness, or filter the list for only the signals you’re looking for. Click any of the pathway elements for a detailed look at the analysis behind the assessments.
Table
Cards
Filter
Pathways Signals
Pathways Roles
Choose a signal
Pathways Signals
Choose a role
Pathways Roles
Criteria status
  • Fails
  • Not promising
  • Meets in some respect
  • Potentially meets
  • Meets criteria
Pathway
Elements
Role in the
Net-Zero System
Signal to
Decision-Makers
Alignment with Carbon Neutrality
Economic
Technical
Social
Mining Equipment and Processes
Transform Extraction and Processing
Enabling Pathway
Enable
Invest in process redesign and electrified material movement where productivity and emissions benefits align.
Significant energy reductions from efficiency gains.
Renewable Diesel
(RD)
Bridge Pathway
Deploy
Maximize drop-in renewable diesel use across existing fleets while electrification scales.
Drop-in fuel, with some lifecycle CO₂ cuts. Combustion emissions persist and sustainable feedstocks are finite.
Hydrogen Fuel‑Cell Mobile Equipment
(Haul and utility)
Potential
Niche Pathway
Incubate
Fund demonstrations for heavy-haul and long-cycle mining applications where batteries face limitations. Develop on-site hydrogen production.
Zero tailpipe emissions when supplied with low-carbon H2.
Battery‑Electric and Trolley‑Assist Mining Equipment
Priority
Decarbonization Pathway
Deploy
Invest in site electrification, charging infrastructure, and workforce training.
Zero tailpipe emissions. Enables net‑zero operations when powered by clean electricity.
On-Site Energy Generation
Small Modular Reactors (SMRs) for Mine Power
Potential
Niche Pathway
Don’t Prioritize
Track SMR development timelines and costs but do not anchor plans to this technology. Prioritize proven electrification and renewable alternatives.
Enables net-zero electricity for mine loads and electric fleets.
On‑site Renewables and Storage Microgrids
(Solar, Wind, and Battery Storage)
Priority
Enabling Pathway
Deploy
Support hybrid microgrid deployment at off-grid and remote mine sites. Build enabling frameworks for grid interconnection.
Enables low‑carbon electricity for mine loads and electric fleets. Key to decarbonizing remote sites.
Waste and Recycling
Metal Recycling and Recovery
Enabling Pathway
Enable
Strengthen regulatory frameworks for recycled content and e-waste recovery. Invest in collection, sorting, and quality assurance infrastructure.
Net-zero metal production when powered by clean energy.
CO₂ Mineralization in Ultramafic Tailings
Potential
Niche Pathway
Incubate
Fund pilot, monitoring, and process optimization at sites with suitable geology.
Could be a direct CO₂ capture and storage method or negative emissions option.
Mining Equipment and Processes
Transform Extraction and Processing
Enable
Enabling Pathway
Invest in process redesign and electrified material movement where productivity and emissions benefits align.
ECON
TECH
SOC
Renewable Diesel
(RD)
Deploy
Bridge Pathway
Maximize drop-in renewable diesel use across existing fleets while electrification scales.
ECON
TECH
SOC
Hydrogen Fuel‑Cell Mobile Equipment
(Haul and utility)
Incubate
Potential
Niche Pathway
Fund demonstrations for heavy-haul and long-cycle mining applications where batteries face limitations. Develop on-site hydrogen production.
ECON
TECH
SOC
Battery‑Electric and Trolley‑Assist Mining Equipment
Deploy
Priority
Decarbonization Pathway
Invest in site electrification, charging infrastructure, and workforce training.
ECON
TECH
SOC
On-Site Energy Generation
Small Modular Reactors (SMRs) for Mine Power
Don’t Prioritize
Potential
Niche Pathway
Track SMR development timelines and costs but do not anchor plans to this technology. Prioritize proven electrification and renewable alternatives.
ECON
TECH
SOC
On‑site Renewables and Storage Microgrids
(Solar, Wind, and Battery Storage)
Deploy
Priority
Enabling Pathway
Support hybrid microgrid deployment at off-grid and remote mine sites. Build enabling frameworks for grid interconnection.
ECON
TECH
SOC
Waste and Recycling
Metal Recycling and Recovery
Enable
Enabling Pathway
Strengthen regulatory frameworks for recycled content and e-waste recovery. Invest in collection, sorting, and quality assurance infrastructure.
ECON
TECH
SOC
CO₂ Mineralization in Ultramafic Tailings
Incubate
Potential
Niche Pathway
Fund pilot, monitoring, and process optimization at sites with suitable geology.
ECON
TECH
SOC

About the Assessments

What is a pathway element?
A specific technology, fuel, practice, or system change that could help drive Canada’s transition to net zero.
Each pathway is rated on three dimensions: economic, technical, and social. Each dimension aggregates several sub-criteria — economic covers viability and development opportunity; technical covers maturity, operational fit, and infrastructure/supply chain suitability; social covers acceptability, stakeholder relevance, and related benefits and costs. Ratings run from Fails to Meets criteria:
  • Fails: Does not meet the criteria
  • Not promising: Meets the criteria in very limited respects
  • Meets in some respect: Partially meets the criteria
  • Potentially meets: Meets most of the criteria
  • Meets criteria: Fully meets the criteria
Full scoring for each individual sub-criterion is available in the pathway explorer.
Each pathway element is categorized:
  • Decarbonization Pathway – achieves net zero
  • Niche Pathway – achieves net zero under specific conditions
  • Bridge Pathway – supports but doesn’t achieve net zero alone
  • Dead-End – incompatible with net zero
  • Enabling – supports other pathways without directly cutting emissions
Priority marks a pathway as essential and ready for deployment now. Potential marks one that could grow into its role but is still limited in feasibility.
What to do with a pathway today: Deploy (ready now), Enable (needs targeted support), Incubate (early-stage, fund R&D), Don’t Prioritize (monitor only), or Dismiss (redirect attention elsewhere).

Scores are grounded in the sources cited throughout each sector assessment, then reviewed by experts and industry stakeholders to confirm how each pathway elements criteria are ranked.

Primary Title
Secondary title
Priority
Decarbonization Pathway
Role in Net-Zero System

Signal to Decision-Makers

Deploy
Signal Description

Alignment with Carbon Neutrality

carbon score
Alignment with Carbon Neutrality description

Economic

Economic viability

economic viability score

Economic Viability description

Economic development

economic development score
Economic development description

Technical

Maturity

Maturity score
Maturity description

Operational fit

Operational Fit score
Operational Fit description

Infrastructure & supply

Infrastructure & supply score
Infrastructure & supply description

Social

Social acceptability

Social acceptability score
Social acceptability description

Relevance to stakeholders

Relevance to stakeholders score
Relevance to stakeholders description

Related benefits & costs

Related benefits & costs score
related benefits description