Ontario

Ontario is Canada’s automotive manufacturing hub and the only province assembling both cars and trucks, with a diversified, manufacturing and services-based economy and a low-emission power grid following an early coal phase-out.

Exports are led by motor vehicles and parts, precious metals and stones, and mechanical equipment, while the decarbonization challenge sits in transport, buildings, and industry rather than power generation.

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*Four provinces are available. More to come.

CORE INDICATOR

The province at a glance

GHG emissions, 2023*
157.8
Mt CO₂e
AB 260.14
ON 157.8
QC 77.53
BC 56.6
Real GDP, 2023-2024*
$900.8
B
ON $900.8
QC $450.3
AB $361.5
BC $322.5
Employment, 2023-2024*
8.15
M people
ON 8.15
QC 4.52
AB 2.56
BC 2.49
International exports, 2023-2025*
$252.3
B
ON $252.3
AB $178.6
QC $121.4
BC $54.7
Priority sectors

Which sectors are key in ON

Five sectors account for 134.1 Mt, or 85% of provincial emissions. Transportation, buildings, and heavy industry together make up 71% of the total, while the grid remains low-emission following the early coal phase-out.

2024 GHG emissions

Total emissions
157.8 Mt
Mt CO₂e · 2024
 
Sector Mt CO₂e Share
Transportation 49.8 Mt
Buildings 33.1 Mt
Heavy industry 29.4 Mt
Agriculture 13 Mt
Electricity 8.8 Mt
Other emissions 23.8 Mt

Select a sector

Choose a sector in the dropdown below, or in the ring, to see its emissions breakdown, economic and trade weight, its pathway emphasis.

Priority actions

Which Actions Matter Most in Ontario

Actions Sector weight
TRANSPORTATION
Accelerate road transportation decarbonization
Prioritize light-duty and freight road segments, which dominate Ontario's transportation emissions, aligning with the direction of the federal Electric Vehicle Availability Standard.
31.6% of emissions
BUILDINGS
Scale building retrofit and low-carbon heating deployment
Target existing residential and commercial and institutional buildings, which are similarly sized emissions sources in the inventory, through efficiency retrofits and electrified heating.
21.0% of emissions
HEAVY INDUSTRY
Target industrial decarbonization in high-emitting subsectors
Combine efficiency, electrification and process transition options across steel, chemicals and other industry, maintaining industrial competitiveness.
18.6% of emissions
AGRICULTURE
Strengthen agricultural mitigation supports and measurement
Focus on practices and technologies that reduce methane and nitrous oxide across the sector's 12.97 Mt of emissions.
8.2% of emissions
ELECTRICITY
Coordinate electrification demand with electricity system planning
Electricity is the enabler for transport, buildings and industry, with grid intensity reported at 54 g CO₂e/kWh (2023); planning must keep low-emission supply ahead of growing electrification demand.
CORE ENABLER
Competitiveness

Where ON's Export Base Has Low-Carbon Potential

The 2025 export profile is led by motor vehicles and parts, with precious metals and stones, mechanical equipment, and electrical machinery among the largest categories.
KEY POTENTIAL FOR LOW-CARBON VALUE CHAINS
$122.3B
38.6% of ON's international exports
Motor vehicles and parts, mechanical equipment, electrical machinery, iron and steel, and precision instruments – high-value manufacturing that ZEV alignment and low-emission power can differentiate in lower-carbon supply chains.
Motor vehicles & parts $62.4B
Precious metals & stones $57.6B
Mechanical equipment $32.4B
Electrical machinery & equipment $14.9B
Plastics and articles thereof $10.8B
Pharmaceutical products $10.6B
Cereal & baked products $8.1B
Optical & precision instruments $6.6B
Iron and steel $6.0B
Low-carbon value chain All other exports

Opportunities to explore and develop

ZEV-aligned automotive manufacturing
Align vehicle and parts production with the ZEV transition, in step with the federal Electric Vehicle Availability Standard, to retain Ontario's largest export category.
Motor vehicles & parts $62.4B · five global automakers
Electrified, low-carbon industrial production
Efficiency, electrification and process transition in steel, chemicals and other heavy industry let Ontario sell manufactured goods at lower carbon intensity, differentiating them in carbon-conscious supply chains.
Iron and steel $6.0B · Manufacturing GDP $92.4B · Grid intensity 54 g CO₂e/kWh (2023)
Low-carbon buildings supply chain
Buildings are Ontario's second-largest emissions source, and retrofit and new-build demand across Ontario and the US Northeast is a market for heat pumps, electrified heating equipment and lower-embodied-carbon steel and cement made in the province.
Mechanical equipment $32.4B · Electrical machinery $14.9B · Iron and steel $6.0B
Agri-food value chains
Cereal, baked and vegetable exports pair with practice and technology shifts that reduce methane and nitrous oxide.
Cereal and baked products $8.1B · Vegetables $2.9B
Low-emission grid
54 g CO₂e/kWh generation intensity (2023), with nuclear and hydro providing most of 160,400 GWh in 2024.
Automotive manufacturing base
Five global automakers, and the only province assembling both cars and trucks.
Diversified manufacturing
Manufacturing GDP of $92.4B and 830k manufacturing jobs across steel, chemicals and equipment.
Early coal phase-out
Coal-fired generation at zero in the inventory table for 2024, following the early phase-out.
Primary Title
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Priority
Decarbonization Pathway
Role in Net-Zero System

Signal to Decision-Makers

Deploy
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Alignment with Carbon Neutrality

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Economic

Economic viability

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Economic development

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Technical

Maturity

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Operational fit

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Infrastructure & supply

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Social

Social acceptability

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Relevance to stakeholders

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Related benefits & costs

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